Investors can�� bail fast enough on emerging markets at the moment. And rightly so, given the potential for further problems as I highlighted in last week�� post, Emerging Market Banking Crises Are Next. But the indiscriminate sell-off of emerging markets also opens up some potential opportunities. Asia Confidential thinks South Korea stands out as one such opportunity.
South Korea isn�� really an emerging market though. It�� a US$1.1 trillion economy, the 15th largest in the world. With populations above 50 million, the economy ranks 7th globally. Nonetheless, those in charge of indices such as MSCI still classify South Korea as an emerging market. Which should make you question the entire notion of ��merging markets�� as I do.
That aside, South Korea has tremendous long-term prospects. It�� an open economy with a robust democracy. It�� a world-class manufacturer which has every chance of becoming the next Germany. It has a highly educated and hard working labor force. Unlike its former coloniser, Japan, it�� shown the ability to adapt and reinvent itself. And importantly, the prospect of reunification with North Korea in the not-too distant future would prove a tremendous boon for the South and drive an unprecedented investment boom.
Top Machinery Stocks To Own For 2015: Seattle Genetics Inc.(SGEN)
Seattle Genetics, Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, focuses on the development and commercialization of monoclonal antibody-based therapies for the treatment of cancer and autoimmune diseases in the United States. Its lead product, SGN-35 is in pivotal trial stage used for the treatment of patients with relapsed or refractory hodgkin lymphoma. The company?s other product candidates in various stages of clinical trials include SGN-75, which is in Phase I clinical trials for metastatic renal cell carcinoma and non-Hodgkin lymphoma; ASG-5ME, a preclinical antibody-drug conjugate product candidate for the treatment of solid tumors; dacetuzumab (SGN-40), a humanized anti-CD40 antibody; SGN-70, a humanized anti-CD70 antibody for the treatment of autoimmune diseases; and SGN-19A, a preclinical antibody-drug conjugate product candidate for the treatment of hematologic malignancies. It has collaborations with Bayer Pharmaceuticals Corporation; Celldex Therapeutics, Inc .; Daiichi Sankyo Co., Ltd.; Genentech, Inc.; GlaxoSmithKline LLC; Millennium; and PSMA Development Company LLC. The company also has an antibody-drug conjugates co-development agreement with Agensys, Inc.; and Genmab A/S. Seattle Genetics, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Bothell, Washington.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Roberto Pedone]
One biotechnology player that insiders are snapping up a huge amount of stock in here is Seattle Genetics (SGEN), which develops and commercializes monoclonal antibody-based therapies for the treatment of cancer and autoimmune disease. Insiders are buying this stock into huge strength, since shares are up sharply by 72% so far in 2013.
Seattle Genetics has a market cap of $4.9 billion and an enterprise value of $4.5 billion. This stock trades at a premium valuation, with a price-to-sales of 19.09 and a price-to-book of 21.65. Its estimated growth rate for this year is -37%, and for next year it's pegged at -6.3%. This is a cash-rich company, since the total cash position on its balance sheet is $373.85 million and its total debt is zero.
A director just bought 1,005,901 shares, or about $43.44 million worth of stock, at $42.31 to $43.98 per share.
From a technical perspective, SGEN is currently trending above its 200-day moving average and just below its 50-day moving average, which is neutral trendwise. This stock has been downtrending over the last few weeks, with shares dropping from its high of $45.37 to its intraday low of $39.85 a share. During that move, shares of SGEN have been consistently making lower highs and lower lows, which is bearish technical price action.
If you're bullish on SGEN, then I would look for long-biased trades as long as this stock is trending above its 200-day of $38.40 or above more near-term support at $36.79 and then once it takes out its 50-day at $41.02 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above that level with volume that hits near or above its three-month average volume of 856,995 shares. If we get that move soon, then SGEN will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $45.37 $46.48 a share. Any high-volume move above those levels will then give SGEN a chance to tag its 52-week high at $49.23 a share.
- [By Henry Kawabe]
A number of analysts believe the stock of the biotech company Seattle Genetics (SGEN) has risen too high too quickly to support its current price, and have issued much lower target prices on the stocks than where it currently sits. On Thursday August 1st, Analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald issued a target price of $24 a share with a "sell" recommendation as they see the potential downside of the stock could drop 40.77% from its July 31st close. Previously, on June 10th, Zacks downgraded the stock and placed a price target of $41.20 per share. In May, analysts at UBS AG issued a price target from $30.00 to $36.00 giving the stock a "neutral" rating, while analysts at Leerink Swann issued a price target of $42.00. So far, the analysts have been wrong as Seattle Genetics has blown past their price targets, and as of August 2nd, the stock continued to rise, closing at $43.28 per share.
Hot Heal Care Stocks To Own Right Now: Nuveen Virginia Premium Income Municipal Fund (NPV)
Nuveen Virginia Premium Income Municipal Fund is a closed-ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Nuveen Investments, Inc. The fund is co-managed by Nuveen Fund Advisors, Inc. and Nuveen Asset Management, LLC. It invests in the fixed income markets of Virginia. The fund invests primarily in municipal securities rated Baa/BBB or better. It invests in securities that provide income exempt from federal and Virginia income tax. The fund employs fundamental analysis with bottom-up stock picking approach to create its portfolio. It benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the S&P National Municipal Bond Index and the S&P Virginia Municipal Bond Index. Nuveen Virginia Premium Income Municipal Fund was formed on January 12, 1993 and is domiciled in the United States.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Chuck Carnevale]
Moreover, at this point I would like to add that the real meaning of forecasting future earnings is so we can determine what the size and amount of the future cash flows that a stock under consideration might be capable of generating for us. This is important, because assessing the net present value of our expected future income stream, is at the heart of determining fair value (intrinsic value). Calculating net present value (NPV) is functionally-related to today's wide utilization of discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis as a stock selection tool. I will elaborate more on this important metric in part B of this article.
Hot Heal Care Stocks To Own Right Now: Lehigh Gas Partners LP (LGP)
Lehigh Gas Partners LP, incorporated on December 2, 2011, is engaged in the wholesale distribution of motor fuels, consisting of gasoline and diesel fuel, and to own and lease real estate used in the retail distribution of motor fuels. It generates revenues from the wholesale distribution of motor fuels to gas stations, truck stops and toll road plazas, which it refers to as sites, and from real estate leases. It generates cash flows from the wholesale distribution of motor fuels by charging a per gallon margin. Its supply agreements with lessee dealers have three-year terms, and its supply agreements with independent dealers generally have 10-year terms. In May 2011, the Company acquired from Motiva Enterprises, LLC (Motiva) a total of 26 Shell Oil Company branded gas stations and convenience stores (Shell Locations) located in New Jersey and also acquired 56 wholesale fuel supply agreements. In September 2013, the Company announced that it has completed asset acquisition in the Knoxville, Tennessee region from Rocky Top Markets, LLC and Rocky Top Properties, LLC.
The Company generates cash flows from rental income by collecting rent from lessee dealers and Lehigh Gas-Ohio, LLC (LGO) pursuant to lease agreements. During the year ended December 31, 2011, it distributed approximately 561 million gallons of motor fuels to 570 sites. In addition, it has agreements requiring the operators of these sites to purchase motor fuels from it. As of December 31, 2011, it distributed motor fuels to the classes of businesses, including 185 independent dealers; 181 sites owned or leased by it and that will be operated by LGO following the closing of this offering; 134 sites owned or leased by it and operated by lessee dealers; and 70 sites distributed through six sub-wholesalers. In May 2012, the Company entered into a master lease agreement to lease 120 sites from an affiliate of Getty Realty Corp. Of the 120 sites, 74 are located in Massachusetts, 22 are located in New Hampshire, 15 are located in Pen! nsylvania and nine are located in Maine. The Company is focused on owning and leasing sites located in metropolitan and urban areas. It owns and leases sites located in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Ohio, New York, Massachusetts, Kentucky, New Hampshire and Maine.
Wholesale Motor Fuel Distribution
The Company purchases branded and unbranded motor fuel from integrated oil companies, refiners and unbranded fuel suppliers. It distributes motor fuel to lessee dealers, independent dealers, LGO and sub-wholesalers. The Company is a distributor of brands of motor fuel, as well as unbranded motor fuel. During the year ended December 31, 2011, it distributed approximately 561 million gallons of motor fuel. It distributes motor fuel to lessee dealers and independent dealers under supply agreements. It provides credit terms to its lessee dealers and independent dealers, which are generally one to three days.
The Company distributes motor fuel to sub-wholesalers under supply agreements. Under its supply agreements, it agrees to supply a particular branded motor fuel or unbranded motor fuel to the sub-wholesaler. Motor fuels are sold to the sub-wholesalers at rack plus. It provides credit terms to its sub-wholesalers, which are one to three days. Branded motor fuels are purchased from integrated oil companies and refiners under supply agreements. During the year ended December 31, 2011, its wholesale business purchased approximately 46%, 23%, 22% and 5% of its motor fuel from ExxonMobil, BP Products North America, Inc. (BP), Shell Oil Company (Shell) and Valero respectively.
Real Estate
The Company owns or lease 315 sites located in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Ohio, New York, Massachusetts and Kentucky. 186 of the sites it owns fee simple and 107 sites it leases from third-party landlords. Over 90% of its sites are located in metropolitan and urban areas. It derives its rental income from sites it owns or leases. It collects rent from the lessee dealers and! LGO purs! uant to lease agreements it has with the lessee dealers and LGO. All of its 186 owned sites are leased to lessee dealers or LGO. Its leases with the lessee dealers have three year terms. As of December 31, 2011, the average remaining lease term for owned sites it leases to lessee dealers was 1.8 years. As of December 31, 2011, it also leased 98 sites from third-parties and then sub-leased these sites to lessee dealers and LGO. As of December 31, 2011, the average remaining lease term for sites it leases from third-parties was 7.5 years. Its sub-leases with the lessee dealers have three-year terms. The average remaining sub-lease term for sites it sub-lease to lessee dealers is 4.2 years.
The rental income the Company earns from sites it owns or leases include rental income associated with the personal property located on these sites, such as motor fuel pumps. It sells sites, which it owns and then leases the sites back from the buyer. It refers to these transactions as sale-leasebacks. In these sale-leaseback transactions, it retains the environmental liabilities associated with the site. As of December 11, 2012, the Company leased 22 sale-leaseback sites. As of December 31, 2011, the average remaining lease term of these sale-leaseback sites was 17.5 years. It sub-leases its sale-leaseback sites to lessee dealers and LGO. Its sub-leases with the lessee dealers have three-year terms. As of December 31, 2011, the average remaining sub-lease term for sites it sub-lease to lessee dealers was 2.1 years. As of December 31, 2011, the Company owned 186 sites.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Robert Rapier]
Non-traditional MLPs like Susser and Lehigh Gas Partners (NYSE: LGP) have risks and opportunities that are different from the midstream mainstream. Such MLPs can provide some diversification from the midstream MLPs that make up the bulk of the space, with less commodity and execution risk than most upstream partnerships. On the other hand, they are unlikely to have the same potential upside and growth opportunities as most midstream names. I might consider Susser as part a broader portfolio of MLPs, but it wouldn’t be a core holding in my own portfolio.
Hot Heal Care Stocks To Own Right Now: iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF (SHV)
iShares Lehman Short Treasury Bond Fund (the Fund) seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the short-term sector of the United States Treasury market as defined by the Lehman Brothers Short U.S. Treasury Index (the Index). The Index includes all publicly issued United States Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity of between 1 and 12 months, and have more than $250 million or more of outstanding face value. In addition, the securities must be denominated in United States dollars, and must be fixed-rate and non-convertible securities. Excluded from the Index are certain special issues, such as flower bonds, targeted investor notes, and state and local government series bonds (SLG5), and coupon issues that have been stripped from assets that are already included in the Index.
The Index is a market capitalization-weighted index. The Fund generally will invest at least 95% of its assets in the United States Government bonds. The Fund invests in a representative sample of the securities in the Index, which has a similar investment profile as the Index. The Fund�� investment advisor is Barclays Global Fund Advisor.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Donald van Deventer]
Shorter-duration Treasury Exchange-Traded Funds: (SHY), (SHV), (IEI), (BIL), (TUZ), (FIVZ), (DTUL), (VGSH), (DTUS), (DFVS), (DFVL), (SST), (ISTB), (TBZ).
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